Feathers are sure to fly in clash between Redbirds and Bluejays
NCAA Basketball Betting Lines
02/01/2012 -
Omaha, NE (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 13th-ranked Creighton Bluejays continue one
of their most memorable seasons ever, as they play host to the Illinois State Redbirds tonight in Omaha in Missouri Valley Conference action.
Illinois State is 14-8 on the year, and the Redbirds sit a game over .500 in
conference play at 6-5. They have won their last two tilts, the most recent of
which being a 60-40 shellacking of Southern Illinois at home on Saturday. ISU
is just 2-5 in true road games this season, and the team has dropped its last
three outside of Normal.
Creighton has won 20 of its first 22 games, and is a 10-1 in MVC play. The
Bluejays have won 10 straight, and they are 11-1 at home this year. A 73-59
triumph over Bradley was the team's most recent, and following this bout, it
will hit the road for a pair before playing three of its final five regular-
season games in Omaha.
Illinois State owns a 40-27 advantage in the all-time series, but Creighton
has won the last three meetings, including an 87-78 decision in Normal on
January 13 of this year.
Illinois State is averaging 68.8 ppg behind typical shooting outputs of 44.4
percent overall and 36.5 percent from three-point range. The team has two
players netting double figures on a consistent basis, as Jackie Carmichael
(13.6 ppg, 8.7 rpg) and Tyler Brown (12.3 ppg, 3.9 rpg) have done their best
to keep the Redbirds competitive. Defensively, the team yields 62.5 ppg as
foes are hitting just 40.8 percent of their total shots, which includes a 33.4
percent showing from beyond the arc. The Redbirds are +2.8 in rebounding
margin, but they are -0.7 in turnover differential. Both Carmichael and John
Wilkins logged double-doubles in the recent rout of Southern Illinois, with
the former tallying 19 points and 11 rebounds, and the latter 10 points and 11
boards. As a team, ISU shot 44.4 percent from the floor, while limiting the
Salukis to 30.0 percent. A 15-6 edge in points from the foul line also played
an important role, as did a 40-29 rebounding advantage.
Creighton is one of the highest scoring teams in the country, averaging 80.9
ppg behind highly-efficient shooting percentages of .514 overall and .449 from
three-point range. The Bluejays are led by MVC Player of the Year shoe-in,
Doug McDermott (23.5 ppg, 8.4 rpg), and the team's only other double-digit
scorer at the moment is Antoine Young (11.2 ppg, 4.4 apg). When it comes to
playing with their backs to the basket, the 'Jays are giving up 67.8 ppg with
foes shooting 42.4 percent from the field. Creighton routinely wins the battle
on the board by 5.5 rpg, but is guilty of 13 turnovers per outing, compared to
just 11.5 for the opposition. McDermott was on his season average in the
recent win over Bradley, hitting 10-of-14 field goal attempts for 24 points,
while Gregory Echenique and Josh Jones chipped in with 14 points apiece, the
former also grabbing 10 boards as well. The Bluejays shot 54.5 percent from
the field, while the Braves were just 39.0 percent accurate. A 17-7 edge in
points from the charity stripe helped, but there was a negative in the game as
Creighton committed 19 turnovers.
<< Georgia Tech hits road to tangle with No. 21 Florida State
Tallahassee, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Two teams at opposite ends of the ACC
standings meet in Tallahassee tonight, as the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
challenge the 21st-ranked Florida State Seminoles.
Georgia Tech's first season under head coac
<< Jayhawks host Sooners in Big 12 affair
Lawrence, KS (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Coming off their first Big 12 loss of the
season, the eighth-ranked Kansas Jayhawks return to the friendly confines of
the Allen Fieldhouse for a league bout with the Oklahoma Sooners.
Bill Self's Jayhawks had
<< Sixth-ranked Bears battle Aggies in Big 12 action
College Station, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The sixth-ranked Baylor Bears continue
their quest for a Big 12 title, as they invade College Station this evening
for a conference matchup with the Texas A&M Aggies at Reed Arena.
Scott Drew's Bear
<< Streaking Heat take on Bucks at Bradley Center
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - LeBron James and the streaking Miami Heat will take a five-
game winning streak on the road to Milwaukee tonight.
The Heat weren't all that impressive on Monday but James finished two assists
shy of a triple-double with 22
<< Suns and Hornets tangle in the Big Easy
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Phoenix Suns will hit the road to the Big Easy tonight
for a showdown with the New Orleans Hornets.
The Suns have lost four of five games and are coming off Mondays 122-99 loss
to the Dallas Mavericks. Marcin Gortat le
Hoosiers and Wolverines meet in Big Ten showdown >>
Ann Arbor, MI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A pair of ranked foes in the Big Ten
Conference square off in Ann Arbor this evening, as No. 20 Indiana comes
calling on No. 23 Michigan.
Indiana started the season impressively, jumping out to a 12-0 record
Huskies and Hoyas square off Big East action >>
Washington, D.C. (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Connecticut Huskies have made their
way to the nation's capital for tonight's Big East Conference showdown with
the 14th-ranked Georgetown Hoyas.
UConn is hoping to put the brakes on a three-game slide
Broncos battle 17th-ranked Aztecs >>
San Diego, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Trying to win their first conference game as
a member of the Mountain West, the Boise State Broncos face one of their
toughest tests yet as they tangle with 17th-ranked San Diego State at Viejas
Arena tonight.
Rams and Rebels duke it out in Sin City >>
Las Vegas, NV (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Off to their best start since the 1991-92
campaign, the UNLV Runnin' Rebels find themselves ranked 11th in the nation
and tied for the top spot in the Mountain West Conference as they prepare for
the arrival of
Nets pick up G Bogans >>
East Rutherford, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Seeking to bolster its defensive
performance, the New Jersey Nets signed 6-foot-5 free agent guard Keith Bogans
on Wednesday.
Per team policy, contract terms were not disclosed.
"Keith will
Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “
What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).
Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.
Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.
Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.
A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:
Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)
The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.
For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."
“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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Bonds nearly hits HR 751, SF wins
4 and drove in
a pair of runs, and Barry Bonds nearly hit homer No. 751 as San Francisco beat
1, in the middle contest of three at AT&T Park.
6) allowed five hits and one run over 6 2/3 innings, fanning
eight and walking three.
game slide.
Bonds, who came within five homers of Hank Aaron's record on Friday, went
1 with three walks, an RBI double and scored twice. The double ...
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