I'll Have Another surprises to win Robert B. Lewis Stakes
Horseracing Betting Lines
02/04/2012 -
Arcadia, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - I'll Have Another, the longest shot in the
field, pulled an upset in Saturday's $200,000 Robert B. Lewis Stakes at Santa
Anita Park. The 1 1/16-mile stakes is a stepping stone to the $750,000 Santa
Anita Derby on April 7.
Sent off as the 43-1 outsider in the eight-horse field, I'll Have Another was
racing second up the backstretch behind pacesetter Isn't He Clever. Liaison,
the 3-2 favorite, was running in third in the early going and fourth on the
backstretch.
I'll Have Another, ridden by Mario Gutierrez, continued to press the pace as
the field entered the far turn. Coming into the stretch Isn't He Clever was
joined by I'll Have Another on the lead, but the eventual winner went past the
pacesetter down the stretch.
I'll Have Another, trained by Doug O'Neill, hit the wire 2 3/4-lengths to the
good over 11-1 longshot Empire Way. Groovin' Bob was third followed by Rousing
Sermon, Isn't He Clever, Sky Kingdom and Chips All In. Liaison clipped heels
and lost his jockey inside the furlong pole. Groovin' Bob was disqualified to
last for interference in midstretch.
"He's an incredibly talented colt and we decided to take a chance in here,"
the winning trainer noted. "We thought he could hit the board and we'd move
forward, but he ran unbelievable. Mario (Gutierrez) gave him a great ride.
He's always trained fantastic, but we never saw this coming to be honest with
you. This is incredible. We'll look at the Santa Anita Derby if all goes
well."
The time for the Lewis Stakes was 1:40.84 on a fast track.
I'll Have Another, owned by Reddam Racing, notched his first win since
beginning his career with a victory last July at Hollywood Park. Saturday's
win was worth $120,000. The chestnut colt followed his initial win with a
second in the Best Pal Stakes in August and a sixth at Saratoga in the
Hopeful. His earnings now stand at $184,000.
"We bought him at the OBS (sale) in April of last year and we've loved him
since Day One," said Dennis O'Neill, the trainer's brother and associate. "He
trained like a really good horse from Day One, trained like a two-turn horse
from Day One. He came out of his Saratoga race with sore shins, so when we got
him back going, Paul (owner J. Paul Reddam) said to take our time with him. We
paid $35,000 for him. It's great for Paul. Paul's put a lot of money in the
game and this is fantastic for Paul."
I'll Have Another returned $88.60, $35.80 and $12.00. Empire Way paid $11.80
and $6.20, and Rousing Sermon paid $3.40 to show.
<< Nager elected USGA president
Houston, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The United States Golf Association announced
on Saturday that Glen D. Nager has been elected the 62nd president of the
organization.
"It is a privilege to serve the game of golf," said Nager. "I look f
<< Northern Iowa knocks off No. 13 Creighton
Cedar Rapids, IA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - After Antoine Young's three-pointer from
the top of the arc tied the game at 62 with five seconds remaining, Anthony
James raced up the floor and buried a step-back three-pointer at the buzzer,
lifting
<< Battle Hardened gains victory at Tampa Bay
Oldsmar, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Lightly raced Battle Hardened came from off the
pace to capture Saturday's $250,000 Sam F. Davis Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs.
The 1 1/16-mile race is the final local prep for the Tampa Bay Derby on March
10.
<< Levin extends lead at Phoenix Open
Scottsdale, AZ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Spencer Levin didn't have the kind of
big performance he put together during his first two days at the Phoenix Open,
but avoided big mistakes Saturday and emerged with a commanding lead.
Levin shot a
<< Alpha rolls to victory in Withers
Ozone Park, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Odds-on favorite Alpha cruised to victory on
Saturday in the $200,000 Withers Stakes at Aqueduct. The race, which was not
run last year, is a prep event for Aqueduct's $1 million Wood Memorial on
April 7
49ers' Jim Harbaugh wins coaching honor >>
Indianapolis, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - San Francisco 49ers coach Jim Harbaugh has
won the NFL Coach of the Year, in voting conducted by the Associated Press.
Harbaugh, who wrapped up his first season as a head coach with a 13-3 regular
season
Baltimore LB Suggs honored as top defensive player >>
Indianapolis, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Baltimore outside linebacker Terrell Suggs
was named the NFL's Defensive Player of the Year Saturday, as voted by the
Associated Press.
Suggs had 14 sacks among his 70 tackles to help lead the Rav
Packers QB Rodgers voted NFL MVP >>
Indianapolis, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers was
named the NFL's Most Valuable Player Saturday, as voted by the Associated
Press.
Rodgers won the award in a landslide as he received 48 of the 50 possib
Miller, Newton garner rookie awards >>
Indianapolis, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Denver linebacker Von Miller and Carolina
quarterback Cam Newton were named the defensive and offensive Rookies of the
Year, respectively, for the 2011 season.
The voting, as conducted by the Associated
Ravens center Matt Birk named Walter Payton NFL Man of the Year >>
Indianapolis, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Baltimore Ravens center Matt Birk was
honored as the 2011 NFL Man of the Year on Saturday. The award recognizes a
player's off-the-field community service as well as his playing excellence.
"I am
Sportsbooks to bet on football
Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.
He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.
"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.
He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.
Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.
Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.
Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.
Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.
With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.
Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).
And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)
The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.
While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.
Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.
One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.
Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.
What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.
That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.
MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.
"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.
"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."
So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.
In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.
MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.
The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.
Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.
MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.
To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
Michael Vick is back, Brett Favre isn't and the NFC East remains the best division in the NFC, maybe in all of football.
As players start to gather for the start of another season, some things change and some stay the same in the world of the NFL.
Bet 2010 Super Bowl Odds
The NFC East has been the dominant division in the National Conference for a while, despite limited playoff success, save for the New York Giants surprise Super Bowl win two seasons ago.
Hell, there's a generation of kids in Texas who have never seen the Cowboys win a playoff game (last win was in 1996).
But collectively, the Giants, Eagles, Cowboys and Redskins (well, maybe not so much the Redskins) are as good as a division gets in an NFC conference that has struggled to stay competitive with the AFC side.
Sports bettors have both acknowledged the NFC East's dominance, as one glance at the NFL future odds menu will show.
Looking over the NFL betting odds at online sports book MySportsbook.com we see the top three teams listed to win the NFC Championship are all from the NFC East:
Dallas Cowboys - 7 - 1
Philadelphia Eagles - 13 - 2
New York Giants - 9 - 2
Slotting in behind these three are two teams from the NFC North: the Minnesota Vikings (15-2) and the Chicago Bears (10-1).
Again, despite the lack of recent playoff success, the Dallas Cowboys are popular with the sports betting community, as they hold 14% of all the money wagered on who will win the NFC Championship.
So far, the New York Giants are the bettors' favorite to represent their conference in the Super Bowl, as they have 24% of the overall NFC Championship betting volume.
And what about the Philadelphia Eagles? For the most part, the Eagles had a very productive offseason, the kind that could bring them back to the top.
They had a good draft adding the likes of WR Jeremy Maclin and RB LeSean McCoy.
Unfortunately, the team received a blow when long-time defensive coordinator Jim Johnson passed away on Tuesday.
But this team will make a real run at the division title this year. Going into the regular season, Philly is listed at +240 to win the division.
Last season the Eagles were 9-6-1 SU and 10-6 ATS.
Teams from the NFC East will play teams from the AFC West in the regular season and the Eagles haven't really been a good bet in the last 20 games against the likes of San Diego, Oakland, K.C. and Denver, only going 8-12 ATS.
Two seasons removed from that Super Bowl title, the New York Giants see themselves listed as the odds-on favorite in NFC East championship futures at +162.
Plaxico Burress is gone and with him all the bad publicity surrounding the gun in the sweatpants incident, but can they replace him in the offense?
Last season the Giants were a very reliable bet going 12-4 ATS.
In the Giants' last 20 games against fellow teams from the NFC East; they are 13-7 ATS.
Dallas is listed at +240 to win the division.
Dallas went 9-7 SU and 7-9 ATS last season and with the amount of talent the Cowboys have, a similar performance won't do.
The Cowboys have been atrocious against divisional rivals, going 6-14 ATS in their last 20.
The Washington Redskins are longshots to win the division at +550.
RSS Sports Betting Odds Feeds
Visit MySportsbook.com for free sportsbook odds RSS feeds go to MySportsbook.com for all your betting football needs.
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Bonds nearly hits HR 751, SF wins
4 and drove in
a pair of runs, and Barry Bonds nearly hit homer No. 751 as San Francisco beat
1, in the middle contest of three at AT&T Park.
6) allowed five hits and one run over 6 2/3 innings, fanning
eight and walking three.
game slide.
Bonds, who came within five homers of Hank Aaron's record on Friday, went
1 with three walks, an RBI double and scored twice. The double ...
read more
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